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Sports Betting Expert Brings Rationale View to Tim Donaghy and Point-Shaving Discussion |
Aug 21st, 2007
Since the bombshell that NBA ref Tim Donaghy is being investigated in a gambling scandal, speculation on how he may have affected the betting outcome of games has been rampant. Veteran sports betting expert Joe Duffy brings an educated view. Articles related to recent scandals involving possible point shaving include: NBA
Totals Would Be the Easiest For Maverick Ref to Exploit
I will try a different approach of getting into the
mind of a potential game fixer. If hypothetically I wanted to influence the
betting outcome of an NBA game with the aid of an NBA ref, how would I do it
without leaving telltale signs? Rampant
Speculation about Donaghygate
Blackmail,
Not Just Bribery Can Lead to Pointshaving
Most seem to assume pointspread chicanery is limited
to giving money to an athlete, coach or official in return for altering the
betting result of a game. This is not necessarily so. Response To Professor’s
Contention About Point Shaving
The pointspread is not and will never be a
prediction on the outcome of the game.
It is a “prediction” on what the spread needs to be to get as close to
an equal amount of money on each side. The
public loves betting superior against bottom shelf squads and this is accounted
for in the line. It
is Good to Pick Bad
Every wannabe detective thinks they found the
statistical smoking gun that Tim Donaghy pointshaved
games. These conclusions are based in no
small part on the epiphany that big underdogs cover at a disproportionate rate.
No kidding, sharp players have known that for years. ABOUT JOE DUFFY:
Joe
Duffy is CEO of AJA Enterprises, which produces many of the top sites in the
sports betting industry: OffshoreInsiders.com,
JoeDuffy.net, another others. He is founding GM of
Scorephone.com/Freescoreboard.com, which was the nation’s premier audiotext
sports information source. ABOUT
OFFSHOREINSIDERS.COM:
OffshoreInsiders.com is the
premier source for free sports picks, live betting odds, real time sports
scores and free sports gaming information. MEDIA
NOTE:
Radio, TV, print and Internet media are free to
quote any articles written by Joe Duffy.
Please attribute to Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
Duffy is available for media inquires by contacting him at joeduffy@joeduffy.net |