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NBA Saturday Preview |
| Feb 6th, 2010 Super Bowl
Sunday is now only two days away and everyone is weighing in on the Super Bowl odds
and their NFL picks. With all the hype surrounding
the big game, it can be easy to miss some interesting matchups that could be
possible playoff previews in the NBA. This Saturday the Utah Jazz host the
Denver Nuggets in a battle of two underrated hot teams. Denver Nuggets (33-16, 2nd in Western Conference) @
Utah Jazz (30-18, 4th
in Western Conference) Betting Services
(*note lines are approximations as they have not been posted
at the time of writing) Spread: Jazz -1.5 Over/Under: 205 Money Line: Jazz – 140, Blazers +110 Key
Matchups PG:
Chauncey Billups vs. Deron Williams Chauncey
Billups was named to the western Conference All-Star team as a replacement for
the injured Chris Paul (out 4-6 weeks with knee surgery). Billups played
through a loss to a tough Phoenix team with a strained ankle and couldn’t get
his shot going (5-14, 11 points and four assists). Billups should be fine and
said he will play in this matchup. Billups is averaging a career high 19.4
points a game and has become the leader of this Nuggets team. Deron Williams
is also an All-Star and has played exceptionally well this year (18.9 PPG,
9.7APG, 4.0 RPG). The Jazz are 11-1 in their last 12 games and Williams play
has been a big part of that. He is both an excellent facilitator and defender
while being a fierce competitor Advantage: Even SG: J.R.
Smith vs. Ronnie Brewer Smith is
usually this team’s sixth man, but with an ankle injury to Carmelo Anthony
sidelining him for another game, Smith will either get the startor play the
majority of the minutes at the two-guard spot. Smith is a top-notch athlete
with great dunking and shooting ability. He takes chances on defense and
sometimes lets his emotions control his play. Smith has been much improved in
those areas however, compared to previous seasons. Ronnie Brewer
is a long defender at the two guard spot and is one of the game’s better young
role players. Brewer averages ten points a game but is not asked to be a
primary scorer. His size matches up well with the offensive minded Smith. Advantage: Even SF: Arron
Afflalo vs. Andrei Kirelenko Afflalo has
been a revelation coming over from Detroit for spare parts. Afflalo was an
All-American at UCLA but his game allegedly didn’t translate very well to the
next level. Well Afflalo has shown he has superior on-court awareness and has
become an excellent shooter and a sneaky good defender. His play in Melo’s
absence has really kept the Nuggets ship sailing upright. AK-47 may not
be the top defender that he once was, but can still guard most opponents very
well especially on the post. Melo is the type of offensive player that AK would
have a tough matchup with, but Afflalo is a little smaller and doesn’t have the
moves to shake and bake this cagey veteran defender consistently on his home
court. Advantage: Jazz PF: Kenyon
Martin vs. Carlos Boozer K-Mart has
seen his career revitalized in the past couple of seasons with Billups passing
him the ball and running the court. Martin is still an athletic defender and a
big banger down in the paint. He also plays well in the transition offense and
is a better shooter than many believe (47.5%). Carlos Boozer
will likely return to the Jazz lineup after sitting out three games with a
tweaked hammy this past week. Boozer has once again had a terrific season and
he’s one of the best low post players in the game. He has nice range on his
jump shot and has to be covered from just inside the perimeter. He also is a
very good passer with 3.3 assists a game to go along with 19 points and 10
rebounds a contest. Advantage: Jazz C: Nene vs.
Mehmet Okur Nene has been
solid for the Nuggets this season and has really come into his own as a center
in the NBA. Averaging 14 points and 8 boards a game while shooting an impressive
58% from the field Nene is almost always a factor in the game. His play can
sometimes be erratic and he doesn’t have much range to his shot but most teams
in the NBA would kill for a big man like Nene. Memo Okur is a
unique type of center. Memo does not play primarily from down low like most
centers as he is a very good outside shooter (44% FG, 40% 3PT). Okur is coming
off an 11-13, 28 point night against a very good
Blazers team and looks poised to do the same against a team that does not have
size on the perimeter. Advantage:Jazz Bench: Ty Lawson, Chris “Birdman”
Anderson, Malik Allen, Anthony Carter, Renaldo Balkman vs. Paul Millsap, C.J.
Miles, Ronnie Price, Kyle Korver, Wesley Matthews Both teams’
benches have players that can make big impacts in any game. Rookie PG Ty Lawson
has picked up right where he left off at UNC and has been scary good in his
time subbing for Billups. Birdman adds flair and shot-blocking
to a team that is already strong in the paint. Jazz PF Paul
Millsap is one of the league’s best bench players year after year and will
likely get a chance to start soon. Kyle Korver is a sharpshooter from three and
can change a game’s momentum with the flick of his wrist. Advantage: Even Prediction:
The Jazz have a
great home record (21-6) and while the Nuggets are a strong team, without
Carmelo Anthony, they are not elite. I like the Jazz to hold off the Nuggets in
a high scoring affair. Final: Jazz 116 – Denver 108. Take the Jazz and the over. |
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