Matt Rivers, Executive Handicapper at OffshoreInsiders.com has a free winner for Monday on the Mets. They are laying 124 at BetUs to Cincinnati.

Mike Pelfrey has not been as good as the first six or so weeks to the season but I do think he is a little cheap here. I backed the Mets in this exact comp spot yesterday and cashed the ticket and will expect history to repeat itself today.

Aaron Harang is good but nothing more these days and should get outpitched here at Citi Field. The veteran right-hander is a little inconsistent as we see a quality start followed by a poor start.

Professional baseball bettors know that the Mets are a little banged up again with Jose Reyes missing some action but all in all are a good team and are right there in the NL East. Jerry Manual has literally gone from being on a very, very hot seat to the potential Manager of the Year.

The Reds are a good team and I am somewhat sold on them but I’m still not buying into them being Division champion good. Sure Joey Votto is awesome and Bruce, Stubbs, Philips and Rolen are quality bats leading the way but Cincinnati is still not an upper echelon club or as good as these New Yorkers.

I expect Pelfrey to be very good, maybe not great but very good and at home laying only around double juice is a solid value. The Mets have been great at home all season long with Wright, Bay, Francouer and others and at what appears to be a cheapish price I’ll make a small play on Pelfrey and the Amazins.

The pick: NY Mets -124 at SportsBook

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